Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:12:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1A 0x1a39…1bb6 crypto 2393 markets active 0h ago coverage 47d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 47d only
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$262 (-5%) realized −$262 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate22%411W / 1431L
Drawdown40%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day64.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$384
7 days−$28
14 days+$462
30 days+$740
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)+0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 +3.8% -6.1% 20% 20% -10.7%
≤30d 1089 +27.7% +15.6% 24% 24% +17.7%
≤90d 1842 +11.3% +0.7% 22% 22% +6.0%
all 1842 +11.3% +0.7% 22% 22% +6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.7% 22% +6.0%
10% ← realistic here -8.9% 22% -4.2%
15% -17.7% 22% -13.4%
20% -25.8% 22% -21.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +17% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late +38% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$2 · ×4.29 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.23 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$262
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses411 / 1431
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1842 / 2393
History coverage47d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day64.2
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1842 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$6 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$7 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$3 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $14 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $13 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $14 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $13 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records