Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:32:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a36…2317
crypto · 1137 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$6,452 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,452 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,452
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1054 / 83
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1137 / 1137
History coverage90d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1137 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$378
7 days+$1,032
14 days+$1,636
30 days+$3,332
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $189 +$71 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$384 +581%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $204 +$36 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $82 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $237 −$237 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $202 +$248 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $87 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $140 +$31 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $87 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $87 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 09 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $86 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $218 +$82 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 09 $206 +$34 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,424
other 0% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $22 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $22 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $18 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +11.3% +0.7% 95% 19% +4.2%
≤30d 221 +6.9% -3.3% 95% 16% -3.9%
≤90d 1137 +16.7% +5.6% 93% 25% -3.1%
all 1137 +16.7% +5.6% 93% 25% -3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.6% 25% -3.1%
10% ← realistic here -4.5% 17% -12.4%
15% -13.7% 12% -20.9%
20% -22.2% 9% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3430 history records