Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a29…9b2e
finance · 103 markets active 9h ago
0.0score
+$250,437 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$248,050 · open +$2,386
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25,991
Realized+$248,050
Unrealized+$2,386
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses77 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)99 / 103
History coverage563d
Avg bet$18,185
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$8,604
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? No 67¢ 80¢ $8,396 $9,938 +$1,542 (+18%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? No 90¢ 96¢ $7,862 $8,356 +$494 (+6%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? No 86¢ 89¢ $4,084 $4,210 +$126 (+3%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? No 87¢ 93¢ $3,262 $3,488 +$225 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 26 $63,882 +$6,117 +10%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? May 24 $11,900 +$2,046 +17%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? May 18 $1,165 +$441 +38%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 01 $5,417 +$407 +8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May? May 01 $17,807 +$530 +3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? May 01 $3,580 +$6 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? May 01 $21,175 +$562 +3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Apr 30 $86,541 +$51,274 +59%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? Apr 29 $35,040 −$367 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? Apr 28 $38,042 −$17,589 -46%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? Apr 17 $38,193 −$13,979 -37%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? Apr 17 $30,822 +$80,199 +260%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? Apr 17 $5,042 +$2,513 +50%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2 Apr 17 $31 +$3 +8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? Apr 15 $6,584 +$2,840 +43%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2 Apr 08 $49 +$7 +15%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Apr 03 $636 −$629 -99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March? Apr 01 $277 $0 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? Apr 01 $68,438 +$29,565 +43%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? Mar 31 $134,965 +$14,191 +10%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? Mar 30 $17,349 +$1,668 +10%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? Mar 27 $77,836 +$8,757 +11%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Mar 25 $55,761 +$1,209 +2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? Mar 19 $19,939 +$798 +4%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? Mar 19 $15,696 +$515 +3%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? Mar 13 $70,126 +$192 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13? Mar 12 $31,090 +$34 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? Mar 10 $127,800 +$129 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? Mar 10 $37,592 +$929 +2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? Mar 10 $80 +$48 +60%
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9? Mar 07 $3 $0 +8%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June? Mar 07 $11,647 +$13 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? Mar 07 $72,801 −$2,079 -3%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June? Mar 06 $4,510 +$102 +2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? Mar 06 $21,088 +$22 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Mar 06 $301 +$38 +13%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? Mar 05 $441 +$17 +4%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Mar 05 $8 −$3 -38%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? Mar 03 $770 +$4 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? Mar 03 $10,039 −$39 -0%
Will UK strike Iran by March 31? Mar 01 $317 +$13 +4%
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? Mar 01 $614 −$15 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Feb 28 $990 +$10 +1%
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? Feb 28 $57,385 +$6,336 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Feb 28 $990 +$10 +1%
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? Dec 16 $80,417 +$15,708 +20%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15? Dec 15 $385 +$25 +6%
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December? Dec 11 $13,322 −$3,006 -23%
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? Dec 09 $93,624 +$5,579 +6%
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? Dec 09 $2,409 +$12 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 62% +$172,889
crypto 34% +$79,660
world 1% −$1,836
economics 1% −$15
other 1% +$561
culture 0% +$158
sports 0% −$1,007
politics 0% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? BUY No 89¢ $3,098 8h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY No 69¢ $3 23h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY No 70¢ $4,404 23h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY No 65¢ $1,644 23h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? BUY No 89¢ $4,470 32h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? BUY No 91¢ $1,142 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY No 65¢ $1,643 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY No 64¢ $812 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? BUY No 80¢ $1,008 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? BUY No 87¢ $3,279 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? BUY No 91¢ $2,283 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 94¢ $10,745 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 95¢ $4,901 17d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $83 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $150 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $48 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $46 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $90 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $32 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $149 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $7 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $50 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? BUY No 92¢ $1,335 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $93 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $47 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $168 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $168 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $168 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $46 18d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL No 93¢ $168 18d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 3 +21.5% +10.0% 100% 67% +0.6%
≤90d 25 +16.6% +5.5% 84% 36% +10.9%
all 99 +4.7% -5.3% 78% 30% +2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.3% 30% +2.6%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 15% -7.2%
15% -22.6% 13% -16.2%
20% -30.2% 6% -24.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25,990.95 · official $25,990.95 (match) · 3500 history records