Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:03:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1A
0x1a06…d62f
other · 65 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$653 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$555 · open −$136
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$9,499
Realized−$555
Unrealized−$136
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses6 / 24
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions35
Markets (closed)30 / 65
History coverage2d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day109.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit6%
Chart Positions 35 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$555
7 days−$555
14 days−$555
30 days−$555
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $8,244 $8,275 +$31 (+0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 46¢ $200 $194 −$6 (-3%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $180 $165 −$15 (-8%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $160 $145 −$15 (-9%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $97 $99 +$2 (+2%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $119 $89 −$30 (-25%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $90 $85 −$5 (-6%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $90 $70 −$20 (-22%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? No 10¢ $65 $66 +$2 (+2%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $80 $65 −$15 (-19%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No $51 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Yes $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $20 $15 −$5 (-25%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Yes $10 $13 +$3 (+25%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $20 $10 −$10 (-50%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+6%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+8%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Yes $3 $7 +$3 (+95%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $101 +$101 +100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $30 −$25 -82%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $290 +$261 +90%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $30 +$12 +39%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $95 +$104 +109%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $26 −$25 -99%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $129 −$125 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $206 −$200 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $128 −$125 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $128 −$125 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $128 −$125 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 +$90 +874%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $58 −$57 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $138 +$60 +43%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $139 −$137 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 96% −$888
sports 4% +$197
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $2 38m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 56m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $2 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $5 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $0 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-43.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -37.8% -43.7% 20% 20% -36.6%
≤30d 30 -37.8% -43.7% 20% 20% -36.6%
≤90d 30 -37.8% -43.7% 20% 20% -36.6%
all 30 -37.8% -43.7% 20% 20% -36.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.7% 20% -36.6%
10% ← realistic here -49.1% 20% -42.7%
15% -54.0% 20% -48.2%
20% -58.5% 13% -53.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,498.63 · official $9,499.02 (match) · 237 history records