trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 25% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 25% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 33% | 0% | -18.2% |
| all | 24 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 38% | 17% | -19.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.5% | 17% | -19.3% |
| 10% | -15.5% | 17% | -27.1% |
| 15% | -23.6% | 17% | -34.1% |
| 20% | -31.1% | 17% | -40.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meetin | Jun 12 | $669 | +$5 | +1% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $675 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 10 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 08 | $332 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 08 | $336 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 08 | $351 | +$1 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 07 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 07 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 07 | $391 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? | Jun 06 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Apr 15 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Pelicans vs. Celtics | Apr 11 | $20 | +$1 | +7% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Mar 22 | $274 | −$274 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2? | Mar 06 | $93 | −$93 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Feb 23 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Win | Feb 23 | $45 | +$88 | +194% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 4? | Feb 07 | $17 | +$27 | +163% |
| Sharks vs. Kings | Jan 11 | $8 | +$17 | +223% |
| 76ers vs. Grizzlies | Jan 03 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Alabama vs. Oklahoma | Dec 21 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | Dec 12 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Dec 08 | $10 | +$10 | +94% |