trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 67% | 0% | -11.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 33% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 33% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 29 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 41% | 0% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 0% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 0% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 0% | -33.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $45 | $46 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $17 | $0 | +3% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $52 | −$3 | -6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 08 | $40 | +$3 | +8% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $114 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 04 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 03 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $26 | −$1 | -3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 03 | $9 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin above $111,000 on June 3? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 17 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the next Pope be from North America? | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the PPC win 0 seats in the next Canadian Election? | Apr 19 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Jaguars draft Will Campbell? | Apr 18 | $8 | −$2 | -28% |
| Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok? | Apr 17 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days? | Apr 16 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 14 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 13 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Susie Wiles be out as White House Chief of Staff in Trump's first | Apr 12 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Alto Knights' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 19 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $87000 and $89000 on Mar 14? | Mar 13 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 12 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 11 | $12 | $0 | -0% |