Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:47:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x19f5…717c
crypto · 19 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$2 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses6 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)19 / 19
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day28.5
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$12 +578%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $14 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +4.1% -5.8% 32% 32% -6.0%
≤30d 19 +4.1% -5.8% 32% 32% -6.0%
≤90d 19 +4.1% -5.8% 32% 32% -6.0%
all 19 +4.1% -5.8% 32% 32% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 32% -6.0%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 32% -15.0%
15% -23.1% 26% -23.2%
20% -30.6% 26% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 46 history records