Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T19:00:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
19 0x19eb…df74 crypto 1662 markets active 1h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$4 (+0%) realized +$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate49%822W / 840L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day51.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$47
14 days−$44
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 304 -14.6% -22.8% 44% 43% -22.4%
≤30d 1110 -3.3% -12.5% 49% 48% -12.8%
≤90d 1662 -3.0% -12.2% 49% 48% -12.8%
all 1662 -3.0% -12.2% 49% 48% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 48% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 48% -21.2%
15% -28.3% 47% -28.8%
20% -35.3% 47% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses822 / 840
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1662 / 1662
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day51.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1662 Trades
no open positions (71 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records