trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +3.5% | -6.4% | 33% | 33% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 33% | 11% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -8.8% | -17.5% | 36% | 9% | -9.6% |
| all | 24 | -4.0% | -13.1% | 58% | 4% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 4% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $81 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $44 | −$1 | -1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 27 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | May 24 | $40 | −$1 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 23 | $47 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 23 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 22 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 21 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 19 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 18 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Can | May 05 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Apr 16 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government? | Mar 27 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Mar 27 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or below on March 25? | Mar 26 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 24 | $16 | −$3 | -17% |