trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 47% | 47% | -16.1% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 47% | 47% | -16.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 47% | 47% | -16.1% |
| all | 20 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 45% | 35% | -17.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.0% | 35% | -17.9% |
| 10% | -25.8% | 35% | -25.8% |
| 15% | -33.0% | 35% | -32.9% |
| 20% | -39.6% | 30% | -39.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $60 | $60 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $60 | $58 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $48 | $46 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $39 | $39 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $40 | $38 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $36 | −$4 (-10%) |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $15 | −$5 (-25%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 48¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | Jun 20 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | Jun 20 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $41 | −$12 | -29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Jun 20 | $127 | −$122 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | Jun 20 | $53 | +$61 | +115% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | Jun 20 | $21 | +$24 | +116% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | Jun 20 | $20 | +$18 | +90% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -88% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Jun 20 | $201 | −$191 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Jun 20 | $120 | −$112 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | Jun 20 | $169 | +$145 | +86% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Jun 20 | $166 | +$104 | +63% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Jun 20 | $42 | +$19 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | Jun 20 | $50 | −$2 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Jun 20 | $21 | +$26 | +126% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NY | Nov 05 | $2 | −$1 | -73% |
| Will the next Dutch government be another combination? | Nov 03 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most | Oct 30 | $70 | −$69 | -98% |
| Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherland | Oct 30 | $150 | −$80 | -54% |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands | Oct 30 | $748 | +$39 | +5% |