Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:11:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x19e1…d3ef
sports · 63 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses32 / 24
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions7
Markets (closed)56 / 63
History coverage51d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 7 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$4
14 days+$1
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 78¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Under 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Lakers vs. Rockets Rockets 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Thunder 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$3 +134%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +92%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +132%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $3 −$1 -45%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +58%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -64%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1 $0 +42%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score Jun 04 $3 +$2 +86%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $3 +$2 +62%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $3 −$3 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $2 $0 -7%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $2 +$1 +34%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $2 +$1 +50%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $3 −$3 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $2 +$1 +34%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $2 +$4 +197%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $2 +$3 +156%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $2 $0 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $2 +$1 +35%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 29 $2 +$1 +32%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $2 +$1 +44%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 29 $2 +$1 +87%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) May 29 $4 −$2 -52%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $2 $0 +16%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $4 $0 +12%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $2 +$1 +60%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $3 +$1 +30%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea May 26 $2 $0 +16%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World C May 25 $1 $0 +17%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $1 $0 -1%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Q May 25 $1 +$1 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$9
other 9% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 1h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? SELL Yes 28¢ $1 1h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 63¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 76¢ $1 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) BUY Japan 78¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $4 10h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 10h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 78¢ $3 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $2 23h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $1 23h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 24h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 62¢ $1 24h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 38¢ $1 24h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 39¢ $1 24h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 92¢ $5 38h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $2 2d
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $3 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 30¢ $1 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 42¢ $1 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $2 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ $1 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $3 2d
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 77¢ $2 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 34¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +7.4% -2.8% 59% 53% +2.7%
≤30d 53 +1.4% -8.2% 60% 58% -9.0%
≤90d 56 -4.0% -13.1% 57% 55% -15.2%
all 56 -4.0% -13.1% 57% 55% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 55% -15.2%
10% -21.4% 45% -23.3%
15% -29.0% 29% -30.7%
20% -36.0% 23% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.37 · official $7.37 (match) · 110 history records