Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:52:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x19dc…27f4
crypto · 533 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$390 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$168 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$168
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses213 / 320
Est. fees paid−$123
Open positions0
Markets (closed)533 / 533
History coverage144d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day9.1
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 533 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$35
14 days−$76
30 days−$606
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Chennai Super Kings 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders Kolkata Knight Riders 29¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $6 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $4 $0 -5%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -41%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -77%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -64%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$4 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -46%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -14%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +95%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +43%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$370
crypto 18% −$201
other 0% −$1
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $4 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 32h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 32h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 32h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 32h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $14 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -15.8% -23.8% 40% 33% -25.4%
≤30d 249 -18.6% -26.4% 38% 33% -58.1%
≤90d 483 -19.8% -27.5% 37% 34% -6.9%
all 533 -16.1% -24.1% 40% 36% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.1% 36% -6.7%
10% -31.4% 31% -15.6%
15% -38.0% 26% -23.8%
20% -44.1% 21% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1547 history records