trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $6 | $5 | −$1 (-9%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 32¢ | $6 | $4 | −$2 (-40%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$1 (-95%) |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | Spirit | 33¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$1 | -30% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $5 | +$3 | +65% |
| Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) | Jun 12 | $3 | +$5 | +156% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $3 | +$2 | +57% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage | Jun 11 | $3 | +$2 | +52% |
| Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) | Jun 11 | $3 | +$3 | +109% |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -86% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 38% | 38% | -18.7% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 38% | 38% | -18.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 38% | 38% | -18.7% |
| all | 13 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 38% | 38% | -18.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.8% | 38% | -18.7% |
| 10% | -35.6% | 38% | -26.5% |
| 15% | -41.8% | 38% | -33.6% |
| 20% | -47.5% | 38% | -40.1% |