trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 65¢ | 64¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $2 | +$2 | +82% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 09 | $7 | +$3 | +46% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $1 | +$1 | +106% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $2 | +$1 | +46% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $2 | −$1 | -45% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 29 | $3 | −$1 | -35% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $2 | +$1 | +58% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $6 | +$5 | +76% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $3 | −$2 | -55% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $1 | +$4 | +370% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $1 | +$2 | +174% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 30 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $1 | +$1 | +124% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Apr 23 | $1 | $0 | -48% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Apr 23 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| 1H Spread: Suns (-1.5) | Apr 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Cup? | Apr 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline | Apr 20 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Y | Apr 07 | $1 | +$3 | +254% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +6.7% | -3.4% | 60% | 60% | +10.8% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +18.5% | +7.2% | 56% | 44% | -2.5% |
| ≤90d | 31 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 52% | 42% | -5.5% |
| all | 32 | +4.4% | -5.5% | 53% | 44% | -5.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.5% | 44% | -5.3% |
| 10% | -14.6% | 34% | -14.3% |
| 15% | -22.8% | 31% | -22.6% |
| 20% | -30.4% | 25% | -30.2% |