Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:30:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x19cd…af9a
crypto · 128 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,948 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,940 · open −$975
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$6,077
Realized+$2,940
Unrealized−$975
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses40 / 68
Open positions20
Markets (closed)108 / 128
Avg bet$315
Trades / day3261.0
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 20 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,940
7 days+$2,940
14 days+$2,940
30 days+$2,940
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 54¢ 88¢ $232 $375 +$143 (+62%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $150 $298 +$148 (+99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $148 $286 +$137 (+93%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 50¢ 94¢ $150 $282 +$132 (+88%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 54¢ 94¢ $155 $273 +$117 (+76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 54¢ 80¢ $164 $240 +$76 (+46%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 50¢ 80¢ $150 $240 +$90 (+60%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 51¢ 78¢ $155 $237 +$81 (+53%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 50¢ 69¢ $134 $186 +$52 (+39%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 47¢ 50¢ $150 $163 +$13 (+8%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $150 $158 +$8 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $150 $158 +$8 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $150 $156 +$6 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $153 $155 +$2 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 50¢ 52¢ $150 $154 +$4 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $147 $151 +$4 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $153 $151 −$2 (-1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $148 −$2 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 48¢ $153 $148 −$5 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $313 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $337 +$6 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $310 −$7 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $304 −$8 -3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $300 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $368 −$11 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $330 −$9 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $354 −$34 -10%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $339 +$26 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $362 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $319 −$4 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $349 +$9 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $314 −$4 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $365 +$2 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $336 −$13 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $335 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $318 +$39 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $313 +$8 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $350 +$68 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $362 +$105 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $338 +$25 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $313 +$31 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $332 +$14 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $307 −$1 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $392 −$17 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $440 +$88 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $454 −$8 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $320 −$18 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $354 −$34 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $554 −$58 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $500 −$12 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $387 +$63 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $370 +$118 +32%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $357 +$42 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $309 +$25 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $388 −$9 -2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $393 −$34 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $396 −$17 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $307 −$4 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% +$2,205
other 18% −$240
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $10 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)+53.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 +69.8% +53.6% 37% 17% -2.3%
≤30d 108 +69.8% +53.6% 37% 17% -2.3%
≤90d 108 +69.8% +53.6% 37% 17% -2.3%
all 108 +69.8% +53.6% 37% 17% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3261.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +53.6% 17% -2.3%
10% ← realistic here +38.9% 10% -11.6%
15% +25.5% 8% -20.2%
20% +13.2% 8% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,077.49 · official $6,069.68 (match) · 3500 history records