Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T09:42:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
19 0x19c0…c076 crypto 314 markets active 2h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (135 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$2,585 (+3%) realized +$2,585 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%156W / 158L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$236per market
Trades / day135.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 23d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$6,742
other 0% +$168
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (135 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -13.7% -21.9% 45% 45% -19.7%
≤30d 314 -8.8% -17.4% 50% 50% -17.6%
≤90d 314 -8.8% -17.4% 50% 50% -17.6%
all 314 -8.8% -17.4% 50% 50% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover135.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 50% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 50% -25.4%
15% -32.6% 50% -32.6%
20% -39.2% 50% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
10.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$194 vs −$233 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,585
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses156 / 158
Open positions0
Markets (closed)314 / 314
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$236
Trades / day135.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 314 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $203 +$161 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $199 +$164 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $203 +$161 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $200 +$164 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $202 −$202 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $204 +$160 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $202 −$202 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $216 −$216 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $217 −$217 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $214 −$214 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $215 −$215 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $215 −$215 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $221 −$221 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $209 −$209 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $217 −$217 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $221 −$221 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $222 −$222 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $227 −$227 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $222 −$222 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $300 +$236 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $300 +$236 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $200 +$164 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $205 +$159 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$4 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$4 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$4 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$4 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$4 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$4 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +117%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $156 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $116 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $139 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $63 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $35 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $27 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records