Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:02:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x19bb…9b52
crypto · 610 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,748 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,867 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$1,867
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses317 / 293
Open positions0
Markets (closed)610 / 610
History coverage26d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day51.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 610 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$101
7 days−$424
14 days−$1,332
30 days−$1,867
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$14 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $90 +$60 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$12 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$12 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$28 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$57 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$13 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$12 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$12 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$72 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$36 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $92 +$58 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$36 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,867
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 -8.2% -16.9% 49% 49% -19.8%
≤30d 610 -5.6% -14.6% 52% 51% -21.0%
≤90d 610 -5.6% -14.6% 52% 51% -21.0%
all 610 -5.6% -14.6% 52% 51% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 51% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 51% -28.5%
15% -30.2% 46% -35.4%
20% -37.1% 45% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 1657 history records