trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 38% | 31% | -19.6% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 38% | 31% | -19.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +14.9% | +4.0% | 46% | 42% | +3.5% |
| all | 26 | +14.9% | +4.0% | 46% | 42% | +3.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.0% | 42% | +3.5% |
| 10% | -6.0% | 35% | -6.4% |
| 15% | -15.0% | 35% | -15.4% |
| 20% | -23.4% | 35% | -23.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 48¢ | $300 | $310 | +$10 (+3%) |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $300 | $295 | −$5 (-2%) |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | No | 38¢ | 36¢ | $300 | $286 | −$14 (-5%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 23? | Yes | 41¢ | 42¢ | $204 | $212 | +$8 (+4%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | No | 84¢ | 86¢ | $100 | $103 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23? | No | 74¢ | 72¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | No | 9¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $203 | +$165 | +82% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $102 | +$192 | +188% |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Jun 22 | $101 | −$42 | -41% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Jun 22 | $249 | −$170 | -68% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 22 | $304 | −$304 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Jun 22 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 | Jun 22 | $978 | +$739 | +76% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Jun 21 | $343 | −$343 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | Jun 21 | $225 | −$56 | -25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Jun 21 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Jun 21 | $249 | −$249 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Jun 21 | $214 | −$214 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Jun 21 | $344 | +$332 | +97% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $117 | −$116 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo | Jun 20 | $73 | +$45 | +62% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | Jun 20 | $408 | −$400 | -98% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 07 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | May 07 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | May 04 | $43 | +$26 | +60% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 04 | $100 | +$15 | +14% |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | May 03 | $356 | +$388 | +109% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | May 03 | $14 | +$8 | +56% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | May 03 | $752 | +$709 | +94% |
| Set Handicap: Aguilar (-1.5) vs Maestrelli (+1.5) | Apr 15 | $20 | −$9 | -47% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 11 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Apr 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |