trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 30 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 14 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 22 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score | Apr 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Kristiansund BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5 | Apr 07 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Sharks | Apr 06 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5 | Apr 06 | $4 | +$4 | +113% |
| Once Caldas vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5 | Apr 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Utah vs. Kraken | Apr 04 | $7 | +$6 | +85% |
| Singapore vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to Score | Apr 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5 | Mar 29 | $102 | +$102 | +100% |
| Will Denmark join the Board of Peace? | Mar 26 | $811 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Marciele Albuquerque win Big Brother Brasil 26? | Mar 26 | $839 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Norway join the Board of Peace? | Mar 26 | $894 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$95 in March? | Mar 26 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Scottish Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliamen | Mar 26 | $772 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea be relegated from the English Premier League after the 20 | Mar 26 | $1,682 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 26 | $799 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in March? | Mar 26 | $892 | −$1 | -0% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 5, 6PM ET | Mar 06 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -10.1% | -18.7% | 35% | 15% | -8.3% |
| all | 21 | -14.4% | -22.5% | 33% | 14% | -8.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.5% | 14% | -8.5% |
| 10% | -29.9% | 14% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -36.7% | 14% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -42.9% | 14% | -32.6% |