Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:45:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x1987…6487
crypto · 103 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)1%
Wins / losses1 / 99
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)100 / 103
History coverage6d
Avg bet$298
Trades / day598.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 3 History 100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 100¢ 99¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 13 $1,449 $0 -0%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $690 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $41 $0 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 13 $1,785 $0 +0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $688 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 13 $4,868 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $101 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 13 $2,118 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $209 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $360 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1,110 $0 -0%
Trump out as President by June 30? Jun 13 $584 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $440 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Jun 13 $373 $0 -0%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $38 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 13 $833 $0 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 13 $227 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $449 $0 -0%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 12 $153 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $39 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 12 $220 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $326 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 12 $387 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $122 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $390 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $74 $0 -0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $79 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 12 $21 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $49 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $122 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Jun 12 $754 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $98 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $268 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Jun 12 $41 $0 -0%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $19 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $59 $0 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $629 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $585 $0 -0%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Ju Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $77 $0 -0%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–J Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $206 $0 -0%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $21 $0 -0%
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $49 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 35% −$1
economics 24% −$1
other 19% −$3
tech 9% −$1
crypto 6% $0
politics 6% −$1
sports 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 7m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $12 8m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $78 11m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 98¢ $20 14m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $20 14m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $21 35m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $21 35m
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $1 35m
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $1 35m
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $5 46m
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $5 46m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $20 46m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $20 46m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $38 48m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $41 48m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $23 48m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $40 48m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $20 48m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $43 48m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $63 50m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $63 50m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $50 50m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $50 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $50 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $35 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $15 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $40 52m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $9 52m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $31 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 100 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 100 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.5%
all 100 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover598.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.08 · official $59.08 (match) · 3500 history records