Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:01:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
19 0x1975…b069 crypto 134 markets active 5d ago coverage 16d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$39 (-3%) realized −$39 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate54%72W / 62L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day23.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$51
14 days−$69
30 days−$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 62% −$40
weather 20% −$33
world 9% −$1
other 4% +$2
sports 2% −$4
politics 1% +$1
culture 1% +$1
tech 1% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -4.3% -13.4% 41% 38% -15.1%
≤30d 134 -6.3% -15.3% 54% 24% -15.1%
≤90d 134 -6.3% -15.3% 54% 24% -15.1%
all 134 -6.3% -15.3% 54% 24% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover23.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 24% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 19% -23.3%
15% -30.8% 13% -30.7%
20% -37.6% 13% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$7 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses72 / 62
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)134 / 134
History coverage16d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day23.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 134 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$12 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$53 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$58 +287%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$17 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$28 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$16 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$30 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$26 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $8 −$5 -64%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +35%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$21 +209%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 468 history records