Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:39:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x1971…9afd
sports · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$427 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$604 · open −$242
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,376
Realized+$604
Unrealized−$242
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses78 / 27
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$88
Open positions11
Markets (closed)105 / 116
History coverage75d
Avg bet$843
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 11 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$335
14 days+$610
30 days+$854
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 98¢ $3,022 $3,057 +$34 (+1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 94¢ 77¢ $3,380 $2,774 −$606 (-18%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 24¢ 64¢ $384 $1,017 +$633 (+165%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 8¢ 23¢ $288 $826 +$538 (+187%)
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 67¢ 63¢ $830 $777 −$53 (-6%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 79¢ 36¢ $1,264 $584 −$679 (-54%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 22¢ 50¢ $44 $101 +$57 (+130%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 82¢ 50¢ $164 $99 −$65 (-40%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? Yes 96¢ 97¢ $70 $71 +$1 (+1%)
Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No 94¢ 95¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+1%)
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 47¢ 34¢ $33 $24 −$9 (-26%)
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? Yes 26¢ 14¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-46%)
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes 39¢ 34¢ $8 $8 −$1 (-11%)
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Yes 28¢ 21¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? Jun 14 $82 +$1 +2%
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 14 $90 $0 -0%
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? Jun 14 $73 +$1 +1%
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $6 −$1 -20%
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Jun 14 $109 −$1 -1%
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 14 $31 +$1 +3%
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular Jun 13 $39 −$5 -12%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $86 +$2 +2%
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Jun 13 $15 −$3 -22%
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 13 $143 −$13 -9%
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 13 $453 −$27 -6%
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 13 $99 +$6 +6%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 13 $2,685 +$88 +3%
Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026? Jun 13 $38 −$1 -3%
Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $112 −$5 -4%
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? Jun 12 $49 −$4 -7%
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 12 $0 $0 -4%
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $1,068 +$2 +0%
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title Jun 12 $78 +$1 +1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $156 +$4 +2%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 11 $93 +$2 +2%
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 11 $97 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +25%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $18 $0 +0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026? Jun 10 $19 $0 +0%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? Jun 09 $8 +$1 +8%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $20,253 +$290 +1%
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Jun 07 $344 −$8 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 -1%
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 03 $195 +$3 +1%
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? Jun 03 $172 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 03 $7 −$7 -100%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 02 $5,031 +$51 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 02 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 02 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$6 +56%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $21 +$1 +2%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 02 $19 −$8 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 02 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 02 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $4,134 +$122 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 46% +$113
world 45% +$299
other 8% −$57
tech 0% +$5
crypto 0% +$2
finance 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 96¢ $70 3m
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? SELL Yes 13¢ $5 1h
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? SELL Yes 14¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 75¢ $30 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 75¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 74¢ $7 2h
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? SELL No 89¢ $5 4h
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? SELL No 89¢ $27 4h
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? SELL No 89¢ $11 5h
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? SELL No 39¢ $7 5h
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? SELL No 89¢ $27 5h
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? SELL No 89¢ $13 5h
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? SELL Yes 85¢ $43 5h
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? BUY Yes 84¢ $1 6h
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? BUY Yes 84¢ $8 6h
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 6h
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 23¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +0.2% -9.4% 57% 9% -8.4%
≤30d 77 -4.7% -13.8% 70% 12% -8.4%
≤90d 105 -4.8% -13.9% 74% 13% -8.8%
all 105 -4.8% -13.9% 74% 13% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 13% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 6% -17.5%
15% -29.7% 4% -25.5%
20% -36.6% 3% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,376.33 · official $9,376.34 (match) · 904 history records