trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Jun 13 | $0 | −$6,422 | -5633012% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1,550 | +$1,607 | +104% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $57 | −$56 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $150 | −$147 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $55 | +$134 | +245% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1,094 | −$1,078 | -99% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $161 | −$158 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $97 | −$97 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $398 | +$651 | +164% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $919 | +$385 | +42% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $157 | −$157 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $501 | −$501 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 29 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | May 29 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? | May 29 | $5 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | May 08 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | May 08 | $5 | +$2 | +30% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 30? | Apr 15 | $1 | +$1 | +79% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | Mar 02 | $5,660 | +$110 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Mar 02 | $27,696 | +$26,792 | +97% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | Mar 02 | $15,149 | +$6,423 | +42% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | Mar 02 | $2,652 | +$7,483 | +282% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | Feb 27 | $15,755 | −$3,613 | -23% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -19.9% | -27.5% | 33% | 33% | -0.3% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -35.9% | -42.0% | 27% | 27% | -0.6% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -26.9% | -33.9% | 30% | 30% | -0.6% |
| all | 25 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 40% | 36% | +37.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -14.5% | 36% | +37.8% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 36% | +24.6% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -30.2% | 32% | +12.6% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 24% | +1.5% |