Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T14:28:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
19 0x1959…4250 crypto 1205 markets active 1h ago coverage 12d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (198 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,071 (-12%) realized −$1,071 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate42%508W / 697L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day198.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$32
14 days−$1,096
30 days−$1,096
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,096
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (198 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -15.6% -23.6% 34% 34% -12.9%
≤30d 1205 -10.7% -19.2% 42% 42% -20.9%
≤90d 1205 -10.7% -19.2% 42% 42% -20.9%
all 1205 -10.7% -19.2% 42% 42% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover198.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 42% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 41% -28.5%
15% -34.0% 39% -35.4%
20% -40.4% 36% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$7 · ×1.07 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,071
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses508 / 697
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1205 / 1205
History coverage12d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day198.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1205 Trades
no open positions (17 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 29 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 29 $52 +$83 +160%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 29 $52 +$73 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 29 $26 +$27 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 29 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 29 $53 +$161 +306%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 29 $53 −$50 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 29 $5 +$3 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 29 $26 +$18 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 29 $26 +$22 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 29 $26 +$27 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 29 $26 +$20 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 29 $26 +$87 +331%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 21 $10 +$8 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 21 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 21 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 21 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 21 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 21 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 21 $5 +$11 +208%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $27 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $26 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $26 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $27 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $27 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $26 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records