Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:33:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x1955…bacd
crypto · 854 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$46 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$47 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$373
Realized+$47
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses843 / 5
Open positions6
Markets (closed)848 / 854
History coverage129d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 848 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$16
14 days+$28
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $123 $123 +$0 (+0%)
Will Solana reach $75 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 12? No 100¢ 99¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-0%)
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? No 99¢ 98¢ $31 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? No 99¢ 99¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $13 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $45 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $77 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 11? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 11? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 11? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 11? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $41 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 11? Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 10? Jun 11 $78 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 10? Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 10? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 10? Jun 11 $101 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $49 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 10? Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $99 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 9? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 9? Jun 10 $165 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 9? Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 9? Jun 10 $40 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 9? Jun 10 $21 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 9? Jun 09 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 9? Jun 09 $72 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 9? Jun 09 $190 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $25 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9? Jun 09 $28 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 8? Jun 09 $100 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 8? Jun 09 $99 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 8? Jun 09 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$46
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $24 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $40 1h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $8 1h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $23 1h
Will Solana reach $75 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $29 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $30 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $71 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $45 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $13 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $50 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $30 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $10 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $40 11h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $50 11h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $12 11h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $15 11h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $5 11h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $50 11h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $7 11h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 13h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $20 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $50 13h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $46 25h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $30 25h
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $45 25h
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $50 25h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $10 25h
Will Solana reach $75 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $100 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 325 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 722 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.4%
all 848 +0.0% -9.5% 99% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 1% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $372.55 · official $372.55 (match) · 1938 history records