Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T20:35:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
19 0x1944…c05d crypto 301 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (254 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$830 (-2%) realized −$830 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate23%73W / 244L
Whale WR38%big bets
Drawdown70%max
Avg bet$157per market
Trades / day253.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,265
world 0% −$1
politics 0% −$2
other 0% $0
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (254 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 192 -14.1% -22.3% 16% 5% -24.5%
≤30d 317 +3.3% -6.5% 23% 12% -5.0%
≤90d 317 +3.3% -6.5% 23% 12% -5.0%
all 317 +3.3% -6.5% 23% 12% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover253.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 12% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 9% -14.1%
15% -23.7% 6% -22.4%
20% -31.1% 6% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 38% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +22% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$116 vs −$26 · ×4.46 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.33 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$830
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses73 / 244
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)317 / 301
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$157
Trades / day253.7
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 317 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? Jun 16 $7 −$8 -110%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30? Jun 16 $333 −$298 -89%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30? Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31? Jun 16 $14 −$20 -143%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 25-31? Jun 16 $67 −$70 -104%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31? Jun 16 $349 −$388 -111%
Will Solana dip to $80 in May? Jun 16 $64 −$62 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 1? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -105%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31? Jun 16 $55 −$62 -112%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2? Jun 16 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31? Jun 16 $20 −$20 -101%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? Jun 16 $3 +$18 +651%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? Jun 16 $94 −$127 -135%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30? Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1? Jun 16 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? Jun 16 $25 −$1 -5%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? Jun 16 $13 −$1 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? Jun 16 $174 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? Jun 16 $91 −$4 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20? Jun 16 $43 −$3 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? Jun 16 $44 −$3 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20? Jun 16 $82 −$17 -21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? Jun 16 $67 −$14 -21%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 20? Jun 16 $12 −$3 -27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 18? Jun 16 $49 −$3 -7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21? Jun 16 $45 −$4 -8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 19? Jun 16 $25 −$1 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 23? Jun 16 $6 −$2 -28%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? Jun 16 $20 −$4 -21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? Jun 16 $27 −$5 -19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 19? Jun 16 $51 −$6 -11%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 17? Jun 16 $19 −$5 -25%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 18? Jun 16 $25 −$6 -24%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 17? Jun 16 $12 −$3 -25%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 18? Jun 16 $12 −$2 -18%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 19? Jun 16 $6 −$1 -10%
Will XRP reach $1.30 June 15-21? Jun 16 $6 −$1 -8%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 15-21? Jun 16 $6 $0 +6%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 20? Jun 16 $19 −$3 -16%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 21? Jun 16 $6 −$1 -17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 18? Jun 16 $19 $0 -2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 20? Jun 16 $6 $0 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? Jun 16 $18 −$8 -43%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 19? Jun 16 $6 −$1 -12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? Jun 16 $74 −$17 -23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 19? Jun 16 $19 −$6 -33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 20? Jun 16 $26 −$6 -24%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21? Jun 16 $12 −$2 -14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 17? Jun 16 $40 −$2 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? SELL No 71¢ $6 0m
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? SELL Yes 72¢ $6 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? SELL No 14¢ $5 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 53¢ $6 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 3m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? BUY No 15¢ $7 3m
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? BUY Yes 77¢ $6 3m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? BUY No 72¢ $6 3m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20? SELL No 67¢ $6 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? SELL No 71¢ $6 4m
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? SELL Yes 72¢ $6 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? SELL No 67¢ $6 5m
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? BUY Yes 77¢ $6 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? BUY No 72¢ $6 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? BUY No 69¢ $6 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20? BUY No 68¢ $6 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20? SELL No 20¢ $5 6m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? SELL No 18¢ $5 6m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 20? SELL No 62¢ $6 6m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? SELL No 67¢ $6 6m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 18? SELL No 59¢ $6 6m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20? SELL No 67¢ $6 8m
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21? SELL No 52¢ $6 9m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 20? BUY No 68¢ $6 16m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? SELL No 71¢ $6 24m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 54¢ $6 44m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20? BUY No 24¢ $7 51m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? BUY No 21¢ $7 51m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? SELL No 15¢ $6 58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? BUY No 73¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records