Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:22:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x1934…3945
other · 39 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$52 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses14 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage114d
Avg bet$586
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown73%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parli Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 24 $9 $0 -0%
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? Apr 12 $8 −$2 -20%
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w Apr 12 $792 +$4 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Apr 12 $1,597 −$2 -0%
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Apr 12 $827 −$1 -0%
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Apr 12 $771 −$1 -0%
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Ser Apr 12 $877 +$2 +0%
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Apr 12 $835 +$3 +0%
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? Apr 12 $811 −$2 -0%
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 09 $752 +$2 +0%
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary e Apr 09 $841 +$1 +0%
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 09 $791 −$1 -0%
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? Apr 09 $1,668 −$3 -0%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Apr 09 $838 −$2 -0%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 09 $826 −$3 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Apr 09 $779 +$1 +0%
Will Tesla reach $555 in April? Apr 09 $868 +$1 +0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Apr 09 $784 −$2 -0%
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Iowa Wild Mar 31 $94 +$91 +96%
Will Norway join the Board of Peace? Mar 28 $783 +$1 +0%
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31? Mar 28 $805 −$1 -0%
Will Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? Mar 28 $843 +$1 +0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Mar 28 $758 −$1 -0%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Mar 28 $815 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Mar 28 $784 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Mar 28 $760 +$2 +0%
Will "Wasteland Cop" be the April film with the highest domestic gross Mar 28 $865 −$3 -0%
Will Fulham finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? Mar 28 $764 −$2 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Mar 28 $805 −$1 -0%
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 4AM ET Mar 02 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 9AM ET Mar 01 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 2PM ET Mar 01 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 9AM ET Feb 27 $7 +$7 +100%
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 10AM ET Feb 27 $12 +$12 +100%
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET Feb 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 4AM ET Feb 24 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 5AM ET Feb 22 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 7PM ET Feb 22 $12 +$12 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% −$4
politics 11% $0
sports 11% +$87
world 7% −$2
tech 4% +$1
crypto 0% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parli SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parli BUY No 100¢ $8 1h
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $9 20d
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $9 20d
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? SELL Yes 0¢ $7 61d
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w SELL No 98¢ $37 61d
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w SELL No 98¢ $759 61d
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions w BUY No 97¢ $792 61d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? SELL No 99¢ $790 61d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? SELL No 99¢ $3 61d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? BUY No 99¢ $793 61d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? SELL No 99¢ $803 62d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? BUY No 99¢ $803 62d
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $12 62d
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $814 62d
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $827 62d
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? BUY Yes 0¢ $8 62d
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 95¢ $770 62d
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 95¢ $771 62d
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Ser SELL No 98¢ $858 62d
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Ser SELL No 98¢ $21 62d
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Ser BUY No 98¢ $877 62d
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL No 98¢ $839 62d
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 98¢ $835 62d
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? SELL No 99¢ $808 62d
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? BUY No 100¢ $811 62d
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $748 64d
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $6 64d
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $752 64d
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary e SELL No 100¢ $842 64d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 2 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 30 +2.5% -7.2% 37% 3% -9.2%
all 39 -5.8% -14.7% 36% 10% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 10% -9.3%
10% -22.9% 10% -18.0%
15% -30.3% 10% -25.9%
20% -37.2% 10% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 97 history records