Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:22:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x192a…2209
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$272 -48%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$272 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$272
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses1 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day10.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$272
7 days−$272
14 days−$272
30 days−$272
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$6 -59%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $102 −$66 -65%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -24%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -24%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $230 −$224 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $103 +$103 +101%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $102 −$74 -72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$272
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 7¢ $4 48m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 22¢ $36 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 17¢ $8 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 13¢ $8 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $102 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 2¢ $5 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $230 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $206 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $103 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 16¢ $29 29h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $102 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-40.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -34.5% -40.8% 14% 14% -52.9%
≤30d 7 -34.5% -40.8% 14% 14% -52.9%
≤90d 7 -34.5% -40.8% 14% 14% -52.9%
all 7 -34.5% -40.8% 14% 14% -52.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -40.8% 14% -52.9%
10% -46.4% 14% -57.4%
15% -51.6% 14% -61.5%
20% -56.4% 14% -65.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 14 history records