Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:46:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x1926…83cc
sports · 57 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$1,976 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,505 · open −$126
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$235
Realized+$1,505
Unrealized−$126
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses30 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$263
Open positions2
Markets (closed)55 / 57
History coverage15d
Avg bet$401
Trades / day11.5
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,360
7 days+$1,572
14 days+$1,544
30 days+$1,505
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 35¢ 40¢ $205 $235 +$29 (+14%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 45¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 9¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner paiN Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $496 $0 −$496 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 52¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 42¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Deep Cross Gaming 15¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 64¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 49¢ 0¢ $460 $0 −$460 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Under 86¢ 0¢ $774 $0 −$774 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 52¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $591 +$357 +60%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1,346 +$54 +4%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $460 +$50 +11%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1,660 +$140 +8%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $777 −$774 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $252 +$128 +51%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $1,736 +$324 +19%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,442 +$588 +41%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $751 −$610 -81%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,850 +$1,750 +95%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 12 $369 −$15 -4%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $184 −$11 -6%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $286 +$175 +61%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $286 −$111 -39%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $471 +$354 +75%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $656 −$460 -70%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $184 +$158 +86%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $467 −$357 -76%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $472 −$381 -81%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $369 −$180 -49%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $185 −$185 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $367 +$194 +53%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $71 +$29 +40%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $336 +$94 +28%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $286 +$106 +37%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $102 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $205 +$51 +25%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $51 −$22 -43%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $287 +$267 +93%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $286 +$158 +55%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $287 +$256 +89%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $286 −$280 -98%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $183 −$4 -2%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $184 −$180 -98%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $184 +$35 +19%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $184 −$17 -9%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $286 −$35 -12%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $285 +$71 +25%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $62 +$5 +8%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $184 +$85 +46%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $184 −$180 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $184 +$126 +69%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $185 −$180 -97%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $209 +$29 +14%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 31 $152 +$111 +73%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $204 −$167 -82%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $61 −$59 -97%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 30 $629 +$430 +68%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $102 +$86 +84%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $103 −$62 -60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$68
other 11% +$1,282
crypto 1% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $87 9m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $123 9m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 61¢ $194 41m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 34¢ $51 46m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 45¢ $51 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 49¢ $203 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $414 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 57¢ $51 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 57¢ $191 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 33¢ $170 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 70¢ $364 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $350 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $460 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $1,346 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 12.5 Total Corners BUY Under 86¢ $777 7h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $12 7h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $1,648 7h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 83¢ $42 20h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 83¢ $169 20h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 83¢ $337 20h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 65¢ $252 20h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 83¢ $1,188 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1,950 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 58¢ $51 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $404 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $446 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $92 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $92 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $97 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $92 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -1.3% -10.7% 56% 49% -2.1%
≤30d 55 -4.0% -13.2% 55% 49% -3.3%
≤90d 55 -4.0% -13.2% 55% 49% -3.3%
all 55 -4.0% -13.2% 55% 49% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 49% -3.3%
10% -21.5% 40% -12.5%
15% -29.1% 35% -21.0%
20% -36.0% 25% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $234.88 · official $234.88 (match) · 184 history records