trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 50% | 50% | -32.3% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 50% | 50% | -32.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 50% | 50% | -32.3% |
| all | 8 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 50% | 50% | -32.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.0% | 50% | -32.3% |
| 10% | -27.6% | 38% | -38.8% |
| 15% | -34.6% | 25% | -44.7% |
| 20% | -41.0% | 12% | -50.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | Yes | 46¢ | 45¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | 46¢ | 44¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | Yes | 30¢ | 3¢ | $15 | $2 | −$13 (-90%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$12 | +226% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $22 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$5 | +25% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |