trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 33% | 0% | -7.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 33% | 0% | -7.7% |
| all | 24 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 67% | 12% | -6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 12% | -6.8% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 8% | -15.7% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -31.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 26¢ | $48 | $43 | −$6 (-12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 27 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 26 | $28 | +$2 | +6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | May 26 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28? | Mar 30 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 21-28? | Mar 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 28 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31? | Mar 25 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Canada election called by Sunday? | Mar 24 | $23 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $17 | +$1 | +3% |
| Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14? | Mar 15 | $21 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.5% and 48.9% on March 14? | Mar 13 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 12 | $18 | +$4 | +22% |
| Kent State vs. Western Michigan | Mar 06 | $13 | +$5 | +35% |
| UT Martin vs. Tennessee Tech | Mar 04 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's address to Congress? | Mar 04 | $18 | −$5 | -27% |
| Gonzaga vs. San Francisco | Mar 04 | $14 | +$4 | +25% |
| Georgescu banned from Romania election? | Mar 02 | $14 | $0 | +0% |