trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 48% | 48% | -6.3% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 48% | 48% | -6.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 48% | 48% | -6.3% |
| all | 23 | +9.7% | -0.7% | 48% | 48% | -13.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.7% | 48% | -13.6% |
| 10% | -10.2% | 43% | -21.9% |
| 15% | -18.9% | 35% | -29.4% |
| 20% | -26.8% | 30% | -36.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $22 | $22 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $14 | $13 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $13 | $12 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $34 | +$4 | +11% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $43 | −$16 | -36% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$6 | +28% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $7 | +$6 | +86% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$1 | +23% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$10 | +93% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $9 | −$4 | -41% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $38 | +$37 | +99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $39 | +$16 | +40% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $15 | +$15 | +100% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $14 | −$2 | -14% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $31 | −$31 | -99% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $29 | +$18 | +61% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$8 | -77% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $15 | +$7 | +44% |
| Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $19 | −$19 | -99% |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Nov 16 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $27 | +$16 | +61% |