trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 45% | 36% | -43.2% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -27.4% | -34.3% | 37% | 32% | -15.1% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -26.6% | -33.6% | 39% | 35% | -15.3% |
| all | 152 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 49% | 47% | -11.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.6% | 47% | -11.4% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 45% | -19.9% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 43% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 38% | -34.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $10 | +$6 | +57% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $30 | −$18 | -58% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $151 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$33 | +109% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 | Jun 11 | $101 | +$95 | +93% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $10 | +$18 | +178% |
| Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Exact Score: China PR 1 - 0 Thailand? | Jun 09 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $284 | −$280 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $122 | −$120 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $51 | +$65 | +129% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $998 | +$673 | +67% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5 | May 21 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 25 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5 | Apr 16 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 16 | $15 | +$9 | +59% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Knicks vs. Jazz | Mar 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic | Mar 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Mar 08 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | Mar 06 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Mar 06 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Magic | Mar 04 | $20 | +$49 | +245% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Mar 04 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Suns | Feb 27 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Nets | Feb 25 | $30 | +$25 | +82% |
| Kings vs. Grizzlies | Feb 24 | $20 | +$18 | +89% |
| Heat vs. Bucks | Feb 24 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Pelicans | Feb 24 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Feb 24 | $30 | +$21 | +70% |
| 76ers vs. Timberwolves | Feb 24 | $30 | +$40 | +133% |
| Rockets vs. Hornets | Feb 21 | $20 | +$16 | +82% |
| Hawks vs. 76ers | Feb 20 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Feb 13 | $44 | +$19 | +43% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | Feb 13 | $50 | +$22 | +45% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Feb 13 | $20 | +$33 | +163% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | Feb 10 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Feb 10 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Nets | Feb 10 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Feb 07 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Rockets | Feb 06 | $20 | +$28 | +142% |
| Nets vs. Magic: O/U 214.5 | Feb 06 | $80 | +$82 | +103% |
| Wizards vs. Pistons | Feb 06 | $130 | +$131 | +101% |
| Pelicans vs. Bucks | Feb 06 | $20 | +$31 | +156% |