Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:16:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
18 0x18d0…93ba crypto 143 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$35 (-2%) realized −$35 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate97%138W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day25.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 143 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -11.7%
≤30d 143 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -11.7%
≤90d 143 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -11.7%
all 143 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 1% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -20.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -27.9%
20% -33.3% 0% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$19 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses138 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)143 / 143
History coverage6d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day25.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 143 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 306 history records