Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:14:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x189b…5718
sports · 152 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$115 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$115 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$115
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses93 / 59
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)152 / 152
History coverage53d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 152 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days+$45
14 days+$45
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Casper Ruud 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry Madison Keys 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Oeiras 4: Lautaro Midon vs Benjamin Hassan Lautaro Midon 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova Coco Gauff 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova Karolina Muchova 87¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Jiujiang: Haruka Kaji vs Xinyu Gao Xinyu Gao 36¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong Karen Khachanov 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Shymkent: Andrej Nedic vs Sergey Fomin Andrej Nedic 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
ITF Luan: Jie Cui vs Qian Sun Jie Cui 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federico Bondioli vs Emilio Nava Emilio Nava 84¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Brazzaville: Michael Geerts vs Iiro Vasa Michael Geerts 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Nagasaki Velca vs. Kyoto Hannaryz Nagasaki Velca 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumar Alastair Gray 88¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Basket Zaragoza vs. Granada Basket Zaragoza 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leandro Riedi vs Vilius Gaubas Vilius Gaubas 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $55 +$12 +21%
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Jun 12 $215 −$160 -74%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $279 +$77 +28%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $120 +$17 +14%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 10 $70 +$51 +73%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $38 +$32 +86%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 06 $25 +$13 +50%
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Emilio Nava Jun 06 $23 +$3 +12%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Timo Legout Jun 05 $19 +$3 +18%
Bilbao Basket vs. Valencia Jun 05 $15 +$2 +11%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Jun 05 $13 +$4 +34%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $11 +$2 +16%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova May 30 $3 −$3 -99%
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Jacopo Vasami May 30 $6 −$4 -58%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce May 30 $4 +$3 +64%
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska May 30 $9 −$6 -67%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong May 29 $3 −$2 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova May 29 $110 −$110 -100%
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Peter Fajta May 29 $95 +$15 +16%
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Susan Bandecchi May 28 $82 +$14 +18%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $56 +$26 +48%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston May 28 $55 +$2 +3%
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev May 27 $50 +$5 +10%
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic May 27 $45 +$6 +13%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Toby Samuel May 25 $41 +$4 +9%
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic May 24 $31 +$8 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann May 24 $25 +$5 +20%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic May 24 $22 +$4 +18%
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Coleman Wong May 24 $22 $0 -1%
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmic May 24 $20 +$3 +17%
Bilbao Basket vs. Basquet Girona May 24 $16 +$4 +27%
ITF Bol: Noa Vukadin vs Maks Kasnikowski May 24 $12 +$2 +19%
Unicaja vs. CB Breogan Lugo May 23 $10 +$2 +25%
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien May 23 $10 +$2 +26%
ITF Monastir: Lya Fernandez vs Anna Kubareva May 23 $8 +$2 +21%
ITF Pelham: Katrina Scott vs Maria Florencia Urrutia May 22 $6 +$1 +26%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian May 22 $8 −$3 -42%
ITF Bol: Eva Bennemann vs Maria Martinez Vaquero May 22 $6 −$5 -72%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Patricia Georgiana Goina vs Luna Vujovic May 22 $6 +$1 +19%
ITF Luan: Jie Cui vs Qian Sun May 22 $13 −$2 -19%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbaj May 21 $10 +$3 +30%
ITF Mataro: David Naharro vs Jack Kennedy May 21 $8 +$1 +8%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Suzan Lamens May 21 $3 +$1 +38%
Istanbul: Alafia Ayeni vs Franco Agamenone May 20 $9 $0 +3%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Janice Tjen vs Camila Osorio May 20 $7 +$3 +36%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Colton Smith May 20 $5 +$2 +48%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar May 20 $8 −$4 -50%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oceane Dodi May 20 $7 +$1 +13%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Bianca Andree May 20 $13 −$7 -54%
ITF Doboj: Karol Filar vs Nicolo Toffanin May 20 $2 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$102
crypto 1% −$12
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin SELL FC Bayern Munchen 100¢ $67 1h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin BUY FC Bayern Munchen 82¢ $55 5h
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque SELL Dan Added 18¢ $55 5h
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque BUY Dan Added 68¢ $215 6h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini SELL Federico Coria 95¢ $215 24h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Federico Coria 61¢ $140 24h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini SELL Andrea Collarini 65¢ $140 25h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 63¢ $139 47h
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez SELL Nick Hardt 100¢ $138 2d
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez BUY Nick Hardt 87¢ $120 2d
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis SELL Vitaliy Sachko 100¢ $122 2d
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis BUY Vitaliy Sachko 57¢ $70 2d
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm BUY Martin Damm 53¢ $38 3d
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova BUY Alexandra Eala 66¢ $25 6d
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Emilio Nava SELL Emilio Nava 100¢ $25 6d
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Emilio Nava BUY Emilio Nava 89¢ $23 6d
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Timo Legout SELL Adam Walton 100¢ $22 7d
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Timo Legout BUY Adam Walton 85¢ $19 7d
Bilbao Basket vs. Valencia SELL Valencia 100¢ $17 7d
Bilbao Basket vs. Valencia BUY Valencia 90¢ $15 7d
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew SELL Alexandra Eala 100¢ $18 7d
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew BUY Alexandra Eala 74¢ $13 7d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev SELL Alexander Zverev 100¢ $13 7d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 86¢ $11 7d
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova BUY Coco Gauff 72¢ $3 13d
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Jacopo Vasami SELL Stefano Travaglia 19¢ $3 13d
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Jacopo Vasami BUY Stefano Travaglia 44¢ $6 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce SELL Juan Manuel Cerundolo 90¢ $7 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce BUY Juan Manuel Cerundolo 54¢ $4 13d
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska SELL Maja Chwalinska 16¢ $3 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +26.2% +14.2% 88% 88% -4.6%
≤30d 69 +0.9% -8.8% 74% 64% -8.4%
≤90d 152 -8.4% -17.1% 61% 53% -13.0%
all 152 -8.4% -17.1% 61% 53% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.1% 53% -13.0%
10% -25.1% 28% -21.4%
15% -32.3% 11% -29.0%
20% -38.9% 5% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 364 history records