Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x1895…02fb
crypto · 343 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,995 -59%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,995 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,995
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses107 / 375
Open positions0
Markets (closed)482 / 343
History coverage7d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day454.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 482 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,440
7 days−$5,947
14 days−$5,995
30 days−$5,995
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $183 $0 −$183 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $183 −$183 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $325 −$325 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$764
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-45.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 473 -39.5% -45.3% 22% 18% -45.4%
≤30d 482 -39.3% -45.1% 22% 18% -45.4%
≤90d 482 -39.3% -45.1% 22% 18% -45.4%
all 482 -39.3% -45.1% 22% 18% -45.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover454.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.1% 18% -45.4%
10% ← realistic here -50.3% 15% -50.6%
15% -55.1% 12% -55.4%
20% -59.5% 9% -59.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records