Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:07:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x1880…eebc
crypto · 290 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$206 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$206 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$206
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses153 / 137
Open positions0
Markets (closed)290 / 290
History coverage14d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day239.6
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 290 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$16
14 days+$206
30 days+$206
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$11 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$11 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $119 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $48 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $111 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$31 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$18 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $91 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $91 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$32 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$33 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$27 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$13 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$21 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$55 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$58 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $73 −$55 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $52 +$43 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $102 +$54 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $103 +$61 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $26 +$5 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$206
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -5.8% -14.8% 56% 43% -9.8%
≤30d 290 -2.5% -11.8% 53% 40% -7.9%
≤90d 290 -2.5% -11.8% 53% 40% -7.9%
all 290 -2.5% -11.8% 53% 40% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover239.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 40% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 33% -16.7%
15% -28.0% 26% -24.8%
20% -35.0% 23% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records