Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:14:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x1880…4a03
other · 575 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$78 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$80 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$80
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses224 / 348
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)572 / 575
History coverage137d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit16%
Chart Positions 3 History 572 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$1
14 days−$20
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 6¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-62%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-05-29? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-02? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-27? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -46%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $3 +$4 +150%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $3 +$5 +206%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $3 +$3 +105%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 +$3 +123%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3 +$4 +152%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Angola win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -98%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -98%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 +$6 +120%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 +$3 +119%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $5 −$4 -98%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Romania win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? Jun 02 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $10 +$8 +81%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $9 −$9 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $2 −$1 -92%
Will AC Monza win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $2 −$1 -98%
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $2 −$1 -98%
Will IR Iran vs. Gambia end in a draw? May 29 $2 −$1 -98%
Will Gambia win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $2 +$2 +161%
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $5 +$7 +131%
Will Qatar win on 2026-05-28? May 28 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26? May 26 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? May 25 $3 −$2 -98%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? May 24 $3 +$13 +503%
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 +$13 +873%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% +$25
sports 15% +$90
world 5% −$27
crypto 2% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 54m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 54m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 43¢ $3 6h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 6h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 23h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 35h
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 99¢ $7 5d
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 39¢ $3 5d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 6d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 39¢ $3 6d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 6d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 7d
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 37¢ $3 7d
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 7d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 7d
Will Panama win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 7d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 44¢ $3 7d
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 33¢ $3 7d
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 8d
Will Angola win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 45¢ $3 8d
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 8d
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 8d
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 39¢ $3 8d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 9d
Will France win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 9d
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04? SELL Yes 97¢ $11 9d
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 45¢ $3 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -4.9% -14.0% 38% 38% -3.2%
≤30d 140 +6.4% -3.7% 31% 31% -1.5%
≤90d 569 +0.6% -9.0% 39% 39% -4.9%
all 572 +0.5% -9.0% 39% 39% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 39% -5.0%
10% -17.7% 38% -14.1%
15% -25.7% 38% -22.4%
20% -33.0% 35% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.08 · official $5.08 (match) · 951 history records