Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:42:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x1867…da15
crypto · 372 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$34 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses311 / 61
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)372 / 372
History coverage12d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day33.2
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 372 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$39
14 days+$34
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$46
sports 2% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 364 +2.2% -7.5% 85% 36% -7.6%
≤30d 372 +1.3% -8.4% 84% 36% -7.9%
≤90d 372 +1.3% -8.4% 84% 36% -7.9%
all 372 +1.3% -8.4% 84% 36% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 36% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 22% -16.7%
15% -25.1% 15% -24.7%
20% -32.5% 9% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 903 history records