trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 38% | 12% | -12.2% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 38% | 12% | -12.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 38% | 12% | -12.2% |
| all | 22 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 45% | 9% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 9% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 5% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -30.1% | 5% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 5% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $43 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $26 | −$4 | -15% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $19 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +20% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $27 | $0 | -2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 09 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 08 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jun 26 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and | Jun 24 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Ko | Jun 05 | $12 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 03 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 03 | $7 | +$5 | +71% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between | Jun 03 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 22 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? | May 22 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | May 20 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $21 | $0 | +2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runo | Apr 20 | $21 | $0 | +0% |