Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T19:03:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
18 0x185e…65a0 crypto 252 markets active 12d ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1222 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$4,104 (-2%) realized −$4,104 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate78%197W / 55L
Whale WR92%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$984per market
Trades / day1222.0pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5,007
other 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1222 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 252 -8.9% -17.6% 78% 10% -11.3%
≤90d 252 -8.9% -17.6% 78% 10% -11.3%
all 252 -8.9% -17.6% 78% 10% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1222.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 10% -11.3%
10% -25.5% 10% -19.8%
15% ← realistic here -32.7% 10% -27.6%
20% -39.3% 9% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 92% (≥$1,920) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -3% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
12.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$47 vs −$259 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,104
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses197 / 55
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)252 / 252
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$984
Trades / day1222.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 252 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $81 +$60 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $653 +$126 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $73 −$71 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $161 −$153 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $345 −$333 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $364 +$221 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $165 −$160 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $642 −$171 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $362 −$353 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $109 −$70 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $267 −$265 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $392 −$380 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$74 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $205 −$198 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $340 −$334 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $1,639 +$145 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $313 −$301 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $144 +$234 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $27 +$26 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $212 +$198 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $397 −$383 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $206 +$194 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +96%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $2,616 −$332 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $954 −$950 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $2,143 −$143 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $409 +$486 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $184 −$177 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $194 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $202 −$202 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $169 −$169 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $304 −$304 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $385 −$385 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $329 −$329 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $416 −$320 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $409 −$409 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $309 −$306 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $195 −$188 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $1,082 +$794 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $213 +$204 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $86 −$58 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $205 +$203 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $2,401 +$527 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $2,409 −$409 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $19 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $105 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $56 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $83 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $76 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $91 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $95 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records