Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:16:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x185a…5104
crypto · 139 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,018 -31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,105 · open +$87
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$142
Realized−$3,105
Unrealized+$87
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses28 / 109
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions2
Markets (closed)137 / 139
History coverage132d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 137 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$489
7 days+$509
14 days+$509
30 days+$509
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 4¢ $46 $142 +$96 (+210%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A PARIVISION 21¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B NRG 5¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Fisher College 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B Team Falcons 10¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Spirit 9¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $181 $0 −$181 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $188 +$43 +23%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $102 +$58 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $115 +$314 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$79 +746%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$28 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$33 +625%
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $18 −$13 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$82 +410%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $40 −$39 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$24 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$19 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$17 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $56 −$55 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $33 −$33 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $59 −$17 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $48 +$52 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 09 $34 +$48 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $32 +$64 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Apr 15 $17 −$16 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Apr 15 $46 −$46 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$2,327
sports 42% −$820
other 3% +$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 38¢ $96 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 4¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 4¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 26¢ $60 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 43¢ $99 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 5¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 31¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 31¢ $48 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 39¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 39¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 3¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $371 4h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 47¢ $58 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 12¢ $12 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 18¢ $14 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 18¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-36.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +46.7% +32.7% 34% 34% +40.2%
≤30d 38 +46.7% +32.7% 34% 34% +40.2%
≤90d 74 -19.3% -27.0% 19% 19% -30.0%
all 137 -30.0% -36.6% 20% 20% -46.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.6% 20% -46.2%
10% -42.7% 19% -51.4%
15% -48.2% 18% -56.1%
20% -53.3% 17% -60.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $142.50 · official $142.50 (match) · 1415 history records