Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:00:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x183f…e0ca
crypto · 36 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$30 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses12 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage6d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day17.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$9 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$45
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $14 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -21.6% -29.1% 33% 33% -25.3%
≤30d 36 -21.6% -29.1% 33% 33% -25.3%
≤90d 36 -21.6% -29.1% 33% 33% -25.3%
all 36 -21.6% -29.1% 33% 33% -25.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.1% 33% -25.3%
10% -35.9% 33% -32.5%
15% -42.1% 33% -39.0%
20% -47.7% 33% -45.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 117 history records