Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x183e…d2b2
crypto · 140 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$467 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$467 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$467
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses79 / 61
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)140 / 140
History coverage16d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day54.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$119
7 days−$169
14 days−$363
30 days−$467
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 26¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$17 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $98 +$5 +5%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem Jun 11 $35 −$34 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $86 −$86 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $131 +$3 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $103 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $255 +$17 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $56 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$7 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $149 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $13 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $78 +$8 +10%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $26 +$13 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $42 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $23 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $46 −$9 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$14 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $19 +$6 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $29 −$25 -85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$488
sports 15% +$7
other 0% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $19 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $16 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $15 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Ben Shelton 46¢ $15 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $17 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $7 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $15 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $13 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $12 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $8 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -12.9% -21.2% 64% 20% -13.9%
≤30d 140 -19.9% -27.6% 56% 19% -17.3%
≤90d 140 -19.9% -27.6% 56% 19% -17.3%
all 140 -19.9% -27.6% 56% 19% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.6% 19% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 9% -25.2%
15% -40.8% 3% -32.5%
20% -46.6% 1% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 907 history records