trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -36.6% | -42.6% | 25% | 25% | -21.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -36.6% | -42.6% | 25% | 25% | -21.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -36.6% | -42.6% | 25% | 25% | -21.4% |
| all | 24 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 38% | 33% | +14.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.8% | 33% | +14.3% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 33% | +3.3% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 33% | -6.6% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 29% | -15.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: England (-1.5) | England | 30¢ | 30¢ | $44 | $43 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $346 | +$197 | +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Jun 16 | $67 | −$11 | -17% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $54 | −$54 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 | Jun 16 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | Jun 16 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League S | Jun 16 | $230 | −$230 | -100% |
| Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | Jun 16 | $62 | +$70 | +113% |
| Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | Jun 16 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $98 | +$204 | +208% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 30 | $50 | −$5 | -10% |
| Pistons vs. Warriors | Jan 30 | $289 | +$11 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | Jan 30 | $4 | −$3 | -71% |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies | Jan 30 | $250 | −$28 | -11% |
| Raptors vs. Magic | Jan 30 | $434 | −$16 | -4% |
| Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner | Jan 30 | $27 | +$27 | +100% |
| Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Jan 30 | $400 | +$269 | +67% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Unio | Jan 30 | $200 | −$27 | -14% |
| Clippers vs. Nuggets | Jan 30 | $138 | −$4 | -3% |
| Nets vs. Nuggets | Jan 30 | $375 | +$161 | +43% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Jan 30 | $375 | +$728 | +194% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | Jan 29 | $85 | +$49 | +58% |