trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 23 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 57% | 0% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $30 | $31 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 04 | $5 | −$1 | -21% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 03 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 03 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 30 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 30 | $29 | +$2 | +8% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 29 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 01 | $9 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Apr 17 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'A Working Man' gross more than 17m on opening weekend? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Mar 27 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 48°F or below on March 25? | Mar 26 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 24 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Novocaine' gross more than 11m on opening weekend? | Mar 15 | $12 | $0 | +1% |