trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +41.6% | +28.1% | 100% | 100% | +28.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 75% | 50% | -3.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 75% | 25% | -6.5% |
| all | 20 | +15.8% | +4.7% | 80% | 35% | +30.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.7% | 35% | +30.7% |
| 10% | -5.3% | 35% | +18.2% |
| 15% | -14.4% | 30% | +6.8% |
| 20% | -22.8% | 15% | -3.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $274 | $275 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | No | 93¢ | 98¢ | $149 | $157 | +$8 (+5%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 48¢ | 44¢ | $22 | $20 | −$2 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $179 | +$71 | +40% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $160 | +$70 | +44% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $95 | −$94 | -98% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? | Jun 10 | $388 | +$12 | +3% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? | May 07 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? | May 01 | $94 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? | Apr 02 | $366 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3? | Mar 20 | $199 | +$1 | +1% |
| Wizards vs. Hawks | Feb 27 | $5,791 | +$1,309 | +23% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 25? | Feb 26 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Feb 26 | $1,488 | +$4,712 | +317% |
| Celtics vs. Suns | Feb 25 | $1,242 | +$558 | +45% |
| Raptors vs. Bucks | Feb 23 | $649 | +$451 | +70% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hornets | Feb 20 | $1,254 | −$1,254 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hawks | Feb 20 | $1,092 | −$1,092 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Feb 20 | $1,248 | +$1,952 | +156% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on February 18? | Feb 19 | $300 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 15? | Feb 17 | $200 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 202 | Feb 15 | $199 | +$1 | +0% |