Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:37:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x180c…2753
crypto · 1634 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$54 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1418 / 235
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1653 / 1634
History coverage43d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day48.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1653 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$189
7 days−$445
14 days−$209
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$25 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$4 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$3 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$4 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$3 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$89
other 1% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $18 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $18 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 480 -6.2% -15.1% 80% 72% -12.4%
≤30d 1525 -0.9% -10.4% 86% 60% -9.4%
≤90d 1653 -0.9% -10.4% 86% 60% -9.5%
all 1653 -0.9% -10.4% 86% 60% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 60% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 14% -18.2%
15% -26.8% 3% -26.1%
20% -34.0% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 3500 history records