Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:47:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17ef…252a
crypto · 486 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,677 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,673 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$155
Realized−$2,673
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses265 / 613
Open positions7
Markets (closed)878 / 486
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day2977.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 878 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,673
7 days−$2,673
14 days−$2,673
30 days−$2,673
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 48¢ 52¢ $21 $23 +$1 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 36¢ 48¢ $16 $22 +$6 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 36¢ 48¢ $16 $21 +$5 (+32%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 37¢ 52¢ $15 $21 +$6 (+41%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 40¢ 48¢ $16 $19 +$3 (+19%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 38¢ 38¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 43¢ 50¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+18%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 47¢ 74¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+56%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 47¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 53¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 31¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+178%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+143%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 36¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$11 -268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$483
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $3 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $12 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $7 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $0 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-55.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 878 -50.9% -55.6% 30% 8% -35.5%
≤30d 878 -50.9% -55.6% 30% 8% -35.5%
≤90d 878 -50.9% -55.6% 30% 8% -35.5%
all 878 -50.9% -55.6% 30% 8% -35.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2977.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -55.6% 8% -35.5%
10% ← realistic here -59.8% 4% -41.6%
15% -63.7% 3% -47.3%
20% -67.3% 2% -52.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $154.77 · official $159.73 · 3500 history records