Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:15:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
17 0x17eb…71a0 crypto 105 markets active 1h ago coverage 10d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$835 (+3%) realized +$835 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate89%93W / 12L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown17%max
Avg bet$317per market
Trades / day21.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days+$552
14 days+$658
30 days+$658
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$658
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -3.2% -12.4% 89% 8% -7.8%
≤30d 105 -2.7% -12.0% 89% 6% -7.7%
≤90d 105 -2.7% -12.0% 89% 6% -7.7%
all 105 -2.7% -12.0% 89% 6% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 6% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 4% -16.6%
15% -28.1% 1% -24.6%
20% -35.1% 0% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 37% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$24 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×3.32 per $1 lost it wins $3.32
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$835
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses93 / 12
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 105
History coverage10d
Avg bet$317
Trades / day21.9
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 105 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $142 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $100 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $55 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $62 −$34 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $70 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $251 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $91 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $184 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $310 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $351 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $310 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $141 +$23 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $221 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$15 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $281 +$19 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $270 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $260 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $129 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $253 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $251 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $253 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $250 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $245 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $240 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $230 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $219 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $230 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $220 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $220 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $216 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $210 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $811 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $801 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $801 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $751 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $450 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $137 −$131 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $901 +$18 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $711 +$194 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $28 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 308 history records